With last night’s victory over Leipzig, Inter temporarily jumped to first place in the standings of the new Champions League. In the first five European matches, the team of Simone Inzaghi has tallied an impressive four wins and a single draw, always keeping their goal untouched.
Three rounds before the end of this first phase, also awaiting the outcomes of tonight’s matches, Football Meets Data has statistically calculated the chances for each team to advance to the next round without having to go through the playoffs. According to this platform, for example, Inter currently has a 25% chance of being among the top eight in the standings.
The same Football Meets Data has created a table divided by points, to which is associated a percentage reflecting the chance of going to the next round. According to this calculation, for example, Inter having scored 13 points has already secured the certainty of the playoffs.
This is the percentage table created by the platform in which the necessary points are fixed to enter the top 24 of the unique standings:
- 12 points – 100%
- 11 points – 99%
- 10 points – 81%
- 9 points – 38%
- 8 points – 8%
- 7 points – 0.4%
As for the possibility of securing direct access to the Round of 16, according to Football Meets Data, these are the percentages of access in relation to the points won at the end of the eight scheduled matches:
- 18 points – 100%
- 17 points – 98%
- 16 points – 67%
- 15 points – 15%
- 14 points – 1%
In summary, by scoring another five points in the next three matches, Inter would be sure to advance directly to the Round of 16. Even four points, in any case, would be a great haul to move forward skipping the playoffs.
